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As unhoused deaths in Denver drop, homelessness advocates fear the impacts of state budget cuts and the Trump administration

A wide shot of a large crowd of people standing in front of the Denver City and County Building, looking up at the building's stairs and columns, with the rest of the grey concrete building extending to the edge of the frame on either side of the colonnaded stairway. A person speaking at the podium stands on the stairs in front of the crowd. The sky above the building is blue and cloudless.
Courtesy of the Colorado Coalition for the Homeless
Hundreds of people gathered for a vigil outside the Denver City and County Building on Saturday, December 20, 2024, to honor the unhoused people who died in the Denver metro this year. Advocates are hopeful that Denver is making progress on homeless resolution, but are gearing up for impending state budget cuts and the incoming Trump administration that could negatively impact homelessness policy.

Hundreds of people gathered Saturday outside the Denver City and County Building to honor almost 300 unhoused individuals who died this year in the Denver metro.

The vigil, hosted by the Colorado Coalition for the Homeless each year on Winter Solstice, is the only memorial service many unhoused people will ever get. But this year, alongside mourning and honoring the dead, the event also represented hope, because the number of unhoused people who died this year is down for the first time in almost a decade.

“It's the first time that we’ve seen a decrease since I've been doing this work for nine years,” the Coalition’s Cathy Alderman said. “There's a glimmer of hope in there. We need to keep moving in the direction that we're moving.”

The Coalition released its annual to coincide with the vigil. It found the number of deaths fell from 311 in 2023 to 294 in 2024. Alderman said other findings also indicate that Denver homelessness could be trending in the right direction, as long as the progress is not derailed by impending state budget cuts and an incoming presidential administration that historically has clashed with homeless advocates.

In one of the study’s most significant trends, overdose deaths among unhoused people stopped increasing this year. Last year, the number of unhoused people who died from overdose deaths increased by almost 20% from the previous year. Deadly overdoses now have not only plateaued, but slightly decreased.

However, not all findings were hopeful. Overdoses remain the leading cause of death for the unhoused in Denver, accounting for 68% of the deaths in this year’s study. The study also showed that suicide rates among unhoused individuals more than doubled from 2023 to 2024. Suicide accounted for almost 5% of the deaths this year.

“That means that hopelessness has taken over,” Alderman said. “People are staying in the cycle longer, and they’re succumbing to it. So that tells me we have a lot more work to do.”

Alderman said the jump in suicide rates correlates to the increasing number of people across Colorado, including in the Denver metro, who are becoming stuck in a cycle of chronic homelessness. Chronic homelessness is when an individual experiences homelessness for at least a year over a three-year period, and it can include both sheltered and unsheltered people.

Despite the alarming increase in suicides, Alderman is hopeful overall. She credited Denver officials for making historic progress on the city’s homelessness issues over the last year and a half.

A woman sits on the bottom of the concrete steps of the Denver City and County building with her head in her hand. Votive candles and a lighter are on the stair in front of her. Scores of white bags with names on them cover the stairs above her. A bit of the city and county building can be seen in the background.
Mariana Ortega Rivera
/
Colorado Coalition for the Homeless
An attendee lights candles on Saturday, Dec. 20, 2024, at a vigil outside the Denver City and County building honoring the unhoused people who died this year in the Denver metro. 294 unhoused individuals died in 2024, down from 311 in 2023.

Since Mayor Mike Johnston launched his administration’s All In Mile High initiative last summer, officials have moved 2,233 people off the streets and into shelters. Of those, 82% remain either in shelters or have found permanent housing. As part of that, the Johnston administration announced this week it had successfully sheltered all of Denver’s unhoused veterans.

“We can see the formula for what it takes to end street homelessness, and it's actually the formula that we deployed with veterans,” Cole Chandler, Mayor Johnston’s senior advisor on homelessness, said. “It's about understanding who's out on the streets, being able to target services towards them, getting them indoors and then on the path to permanent housing.”

For Chandler, next year’s work will focus on expanding the formula in order to get more unhoused people into permanent housing. His office launched a rapid rehousing program in recent months that identifies available units, coordinates with landlords and provides rental assistance until a resident can fully pay their housing costs.

The city’s permanent housing goals also include expanding housing that comes with behavioral health and substance use services, also called permanent supportive housing. The Denver City Council expressed concerns this month over one North Denver shelter after some residents said they had not received the mental health or rehousing services they were promised.

Chandler said the city has found it difficult to implement permanent supportive housing, mainly because such facilities need specialized staff and resources. It recently shifted its strategy to enlist the public health department to coordinate behavioral health and substance use treatment instead of using third party providers.

“That is the conversation we'll go back and have with the council at the beginning of the year,” Chandler said. “Here's what we implemented over the last year and a half, here's how it's gone, here's how it's worked. Here are some changes that we're making, some ways that we're pivoting as we move forward. And here's really the long term plan for how we put the formula together.”

Expanding that formula beyond the Denver metro to the rest of the state is another major goal for advocates like the Coalition for the Homeless in the coming year. Alderman said that’s going to require the state legislature to focus on the issue.

“What we don't have is an acknowledged and bought-into statewide strategy on homelessness resolution,” Alderman said. “We know what the mechanisms are to get there, we know what programs are addressing these things, but what are our end goals and how are we going to achieve them?”

The Coalition is working with State Rep. Manny Rutinel, D-Commerce City, to craft legislation for the upcoming legislative session that would increase and improve statewide infrastructure around homelessness prevention and resolution.

"The hope here is that by coordinating, we can figure out where we may have inefficiencies and where we can use our resources more effectively, so that each dollar can stretch further," Rutinel told KUNC. "So that we can make sure that the data that we're collecting is being used to appropriately implement programs that are working and leave aside programs that aren't working, so that we can better meet the needs of these populations."

The bill is currently in its early stages, but Rutinel said it would make several changes to state government. One, it would create a new office within the governor's administration to coordinate government agencies and resources in order to better address homelessness. Two, it would create a new type of special district to facilitate coordination of homelessness resources between counties, municipalities and other communities.

Both Rutinel and Alderman said the lack of state and federal funding next year could undermine a lot of this work. On the state level, lawmakers are facing a budget deficit of hundreds of millions of dollars and are gearing up for major budget cuts. That will be an obstacle for any bills with significant funding attached. Rutinel said they are trying to eliminate funding requirements from the bill to give it a better chance of success.

Alderman also expressed concerns about what the incoming Trump administration means for homelessness resources on the ground.

“A large part of our homelessness funds and housing funds come from the federal government, and though the state and Denver have tried to make their own investments, it just can't replicate what the federal government provides,” Alderman said. “I worry about some of the things that this incoming administration did last time it was in power.”

Alderman cited Trump’s first-term attempts to implement work requirements for housing vouchers and roll back “housing first” programs that prioritize getting unhoused people into shelter with no preconditions–programs that have driven Denver’s strategy and the encouraging results it’s producing.

I’m the Statehouse Reporter at KUNC, which means I help make sense of the latest developments at the Colorado State Capitol. I cover the legislature, the governor, and government agencies.