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Will Gun Bill Pass Or Fail? Conflicting Signals Yet Again

Left to right: Senators Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.) and Pat Toomey (R-Pa.) as they unveiled their plan on background checks of gun purchasers.
Molly Riley
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UPI /Landov
Left to right: Senators Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.) and Pat Toomey (R-Pa.) as they unveiled their plan on background checks of gun purchasers.

Here's a fresh headline that may be welcome to those who oppose to extend background checks of gun purchasers to sales made at gun shows and over the Internet:

"Rifts In Both Parties Complicate Odds For Gun Measure." ( .)

But wait, if you support the plan from Democratic Sen. Joe Manchin of West Virginia and Republican Sen. Pat Toomey of Pennsylvania, there's this:

"Manchin-Toomey Bill Inching Closer To 60 Votes In Senate." ( )

The best way to look at what will happen may be reflected in :

"Officially, only three Republican senators — Toomey, Collins and Mark Kirk (Ill.) — have said they plan to vote for the Manchin-Toomey agreement. Democratic aides say the bill will need the backing of at least six Republican senators to pass. The [broader gun] measure still has a long and tortuous path, with dozens of amendments expected. The Senate is scheduled to begin formal debate Tuesday by first considering the plan to expand the gun background-check program."

It all sound much like what we wrote one week ago: " ." That was followed by the Manchin-Toomey "break through."

, a vote on the Manchin-Toomey proposal could come as soon as Wednesday. Even with the uncertainty, it's seen as the most likely proposal to pass among a series of measures that include a proposed ban on assault-style weapons and high-capacity ammunition magazines.

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Mark Memmott is NPR's supervising senior editor for Standards & Practices. In that role, he's a resource for NPR's journalists – helping them raise the right questions as they do their work and uphold the organization's standards.
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