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No, the EPA鈥檚 ozone-fighting mandate did not sharply raise Colorado gas prices

The wing of a plane flying over patchy green farm fields.
The Colorado Sun
NOAA/NASA research planes run sensors above northeastern Colorado's Julesburg Basin oil production area this summer. The agencies are helping Colorado do a research blitz to measure what is causing Colorado's ozone problem.

Colorado gasoline prices after the EPA mandated sales of more expensive 鈥渞eformulated gasoline鈥� on the Front Range to fight ozone-causing emissions, despite warnings from Gov. Jared Polis and others that consumers would pay a big pollution-fighting surcharge.

Colorado鈥檚 average gasoline price was $3.41 a gallon Wednesday, according to AAA Colorado, up from $3.37 on Tuesday and $3.34 a week ago. Nationally, the average has bumped to $3.51 from $3.49, AAA regional spokesperson Skyler McKinley said.

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Polis and others, in a futile effort to get the EPA to suspend reformulated gas rules, had pointed to predictions that RFG鈥檚 higher refining costs could push up Colorado prices by 50 cents or more a gallon. The EPA had said all along the impact would likely be only a few cents per gallon above normal prices, but said it would watch closely and offer Colorado a waiver if prices shot up.

鈥淐ontext is key here,鈥� McKinley said. 鈥淐olorado prices are on the rise, no question, but national prices are also on the rise. June was characterized by really stable and firm gas prices in Colorado.鈥�

The EPA鈥檚 requirement for reformulated gas use during the summer ozone season began June 1, though agency officials believe the less-volatile blend was already being delivered to gas stations weeks before that.

Colorado gas was $3.33 a month ago, McKinley said, and much higher a year ago at $3.76. Two years ago, as state markets were still recovering from an early 2023 Suncor refinery shutdown because of a fire, gasoline was approaching $5 a gallon, he noted.

The regional office of the EPA said prices so far are proof the reformulated gas requirements can work.

鈥淭he minimal price impacts are in line with our expectations and reflect the fact that producers and suppliers had ample time to prepare for this requirement and deliver RFG in a cost-effective manner,鈥� EPA spokesperson Richard Mylott said. 鈥淰ariability in gasoline prices over the rest of the summer months will be related to the typical factors that affect supply and demand: travel around busy holidays; global, national or regional events affecting oil markets and refining capacity; hurricanes and weather events; and other factors.鈥�

Meanwhile, Mylott said, the less-volatile gasoline formula 鈥渋s reducing hundreds of tons of harmful ozone-forming emissions throughout the Denver Metro Northern Front Range nonattainment area this summer.鈥�

The governor, for his part, 鈥渋s thrilled that Colorado gas prices remain below the national average,鈥� said spokesperson Eric Maruyama.

鈥淭he governor is happy that Coloradans have not seen an extreme price spike at the pump, but that does not change the fact that RFG could raise prices without providing Colorado with major air quality improvements,鈥� he said, in an email. Colorado 鈥渃ontinues to advocate for a waiver to remove the risk to ensure we continue to save money at the pump and better protect our air quality.鈥�

The primary factor in gas prices, McKinley pointed out, is always the international price of a barrel of oil. Colorado鈥檚 modest rise recently, and the national increases, are likely reflecting that.

鈥淐rude oil prices are on the rise. If we look at West Texas Intermediate crude, which is a great benchmark for crude oil in America, we are hitting highs that we haven鈥檛 seen since April,鈥� McKinley said. 鈥淥n June 4, crude was trading at about $73 a barrel. As of today, it鈥檚 trading at about $83.25.鈥�

Colorado continues to suffer from toxic ground-level ozone in the nine-county northern Front Range area that the Environmental Protection Agency has declared .

Michael Booth is a reporter with The Colorado Sun. His work appears frequently online at . Contact Michael at booth@coloradosun.com.

Michael Booth is The Sun鈥檚 environment writer, and co-author of The Sun鈥檚 weekly climate and health newsletter The Temperature. He and John Ingold host the weekly SunUp podcast on The Temperature topics every Thursday.
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